- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Dodgers starting pitcher: George Sheehan
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Cincinnati Reds (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Saturday, July 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Reds vs Dodgers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 57-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 54-48 ATS.
Reds vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | O 10.5 -110 | +165 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -105 | U 10.5 -110 | -200 |
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+13.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 42 games (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Dodgers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Dodgers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Emmet Sheehan | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 104 games (+27.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 games (+25.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 74 games (+23.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 74 games (+15.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+19.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 98 games (+16.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 67-38 against the Run Line (+26 Units / 19.05% ROI).
- 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.55 Units / 16.19% ROI
- 56-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 49-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -10.72% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-48 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 7.23% ROI).
- 58-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -5.59% ROI
- 59-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.35 Units / 15.44% ROI
- 38-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.3 Units / -23.44% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (118 Total Bases / 181 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .343 (62-for-181) against Luke Weaver this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .442 (76 Total Bases / 172 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .484 (15-for-31) against Luke Weaver on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .273 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emmet Sheehan has walked 11 of 51 left-handed batters (22%) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Emmet Sheehan has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (42/87) over the last 30 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Emmet Sheehan has an ERA of 10.38 (17.1 IP)over the last 30 days (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 4.33 — third Percentile.
Emmet Sheehan has struck out just 14% (5/36) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (4 games) — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are 20-32 (.385) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Reds are 21-9 (.700) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Reds are just 58-89 (.395) after a loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Reds are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 29-14 (.674) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Dodgers are 33-15 (.688) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 8-75 (.096) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Dodgers are 13-6 (.684) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are 21-5 (.808) against the run line (44.7% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.
The Reds are batting just .324 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Reds are 65-39 (.619) against the run line (15.5% ROI) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Reds have scored first in just 43% of their road games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,142 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Dodgers hitters have 102 extra-base hits out of 220 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 321 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 137 double plays in 1,943 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,009 of 10,321 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 218 of 2,367 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.74 runs per game (501/134) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
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