- The Giants are -165 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cincinnati Reds (+140) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-165) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Reds vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 68-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 63-67 ATS.
Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 +100 | +140 |
| Giants | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -120 | -165 |
Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 71.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+16.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+19.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+18.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+17.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Alex Cobb | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 132 games (+24.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 54 away games (+22.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 away games (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.69 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.84 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+3.16 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.02 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 82-51 against the Run Line (+23.1 Units / 13.08% ROI).
- 68-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 9.4% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -3.78% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -5.17% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 63-67 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -5.21% ROI).
- 67-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -3.41% ROI
- 55-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.2 Units / -17.42% ROI
- 72-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 8.73% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (10/78) against Brandon Williamson — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 33% (87/267) against Brandon Williamson with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (5/28) against Brandon Williamson with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (14/53) against Brandon Williamson when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .239 (64-for-268) against Alex Cobb with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — first Percentile.
Alex Cobb has struck out just 14% (41/293) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (219/567) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (246/413) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are 23-42 (.354) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Reds are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are 21-9 (.700) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Reds are just 25-30 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 19-14 (.576) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Giants are 18-11 (.621) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Giants are 18-11 (.621) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Giants are just 29-49 (.372) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .267 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,680 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Reds are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Reds have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (231/11,057) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have 872 strikeouts in 3,511 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .397 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .474 (2,685 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 243 of 2,614 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds pitchers have walked 113 of 1,187 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 335 of 4,893 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 75 of 1,168 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
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