- The Giants (38-31) are -200 favorites vs the Reds (23-46)
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (3-1), 3.51 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-2), 5.61 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Cincinnati Reds (+165) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-200) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Reds vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 23-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 36-33 ATS.
Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -125 | O 7.5 -120 | +165 |
| Giants | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 +100 | -200 |
Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 85% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Donovan Walton | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Donovan Walton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Donovan Walton | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+3.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 30-39 against the Run Line (-14.05 Units / -16.37% ROI).
- 23-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.25 Units / -25.84% ROI
- 38-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 6.46% ROI
- 30-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -16.1% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-33 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 38-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.96% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -5.75% ROI
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (2-for-32) against Graham Ashcraft on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 100th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.1 MPH (113 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — 99th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a slugging percentage of just .062 (2 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .424 — 100th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 14% (19 SO in 141 PAs) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (527/1,102) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (156/307) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total CH; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (74/166) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (73/118) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Reds are just 11-23 (.324) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Reds are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Reds are just 7-36 (.163) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Giants are 19-5 (.792) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Giants are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Giants are 18-93 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Reds are batting just .213 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Reds are batting .263 at home this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .750 (4,564 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
The Reds have allowed 1.87 runs per game (129/69) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 544 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 268 of 2,654 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 129 of 2,077 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Álvarez (Giants): Back, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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