- The Giants (38-32) are -250 favorites vs the Reds (24-46)
- Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (1-3), 6.96 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (6-2), 3.25 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Cincinnati Reds (+200) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-250) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Reds vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 24-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 36-34 ATS.
Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -105 | +200 |
| Giants | -1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -115 | -250 |
Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games at home (+7.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 52% ROI)
Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Mike Minor | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 31-39 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -15.01% ROI).
- 24-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -23.05% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 4.94% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -14.58% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-34 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.12% ROI).
- 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -6.08% ROI
- 33-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 33-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -4.38% ROI
Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .614 (86 Total Bases / 140 ABs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 0 Percentile.
21 of Mike Minor’s 68 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (8/29) against Mike Minor — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Mike Minor has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 3rd — the longest active streak is 7.
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .479 (23-for-48) against Logan Webb on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .535 (23-for-43) against Logan Webb when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (62/105) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has induced opposing hitters to ground into 30 double plays in 151 opportunities (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Reds are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Reds are just 23-36 (.390) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Reds are just 12-23 (.343) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .674.
The Giants are 18-94 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Giants are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Giants are 70-19 (.787) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,260 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Reds are batting just .233 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Reds are batting just .213 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have drawn 197 walks in 1,957 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Giants have a winning percentage of 61% on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Giants are batting just .185 at home over the last 14 days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 33 double plays in 548 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Reds have allowed 1.86 runs per game (130/70) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (313.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Giants pitchers have walked 599 of 8,623 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Álvarez (Giants): Back, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Undisclosed, D15
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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