• The Reds are -102 favorites vs the Marlins
• Reds vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Reds / Marlins TV Channel: RDTV | MATV

The Cincinnati Reds (-102) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-118) on April 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Reds are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 4-8 ATS.

Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 1-0, 1.64 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 0-0, 4.66 ERA

Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.50 Units / 210% ROI)
• Matt McLain has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Max Meyer has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Max Meyer has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Max Meyer has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• Max Meyer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Max Meyer has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-4 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 13.16% ROI).

• 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 43.32% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -11.92% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.61% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 4-8 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -23.26% ROI).

• 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 12.5% ROI
• 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 27.69% ROI
• 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -37.31% ROI

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 8-4 (.667) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 12-124 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Reds are just 8-53 (.131) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are 15-70 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins are 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .124 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .168 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Marlins are batting .212 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .247 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .222 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 47% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 1.17 (46.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Reds have allowed 1.40 runs per game (7/5) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (727.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 4.97 (702.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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