- The – (76-33) are favorites vs the – (76-33)
- Reds starting pitcher: Timothy James Zeuch (-), – ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (9-3), 3.45 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cincinnati Reds () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 44-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 62-49 ATS.
Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 40 away games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games at home (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeff McNeil | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Peter Alonso | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+15.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+8.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 111 games (+20.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 111 games (+15.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 111 games (+15.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-57 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 44-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -7.5% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.39% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -6.36% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-49 against the Run Line (+15.8 Units / 11.74% ROI).
- 72-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.75 Units / 12.44% ROI
- 57-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4.06% ROI
- 47-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -12.47% ROI
Timothy James Zeuch: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 105 of Taijuan Walker’s 473 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (243/690) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 46% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 20% (58/297) against Taijuan Walker since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (21-for-54) against Taijuan Walker on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Reds are just 3-54 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Reds are just 7-23 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Reds are just 16-52 (.235) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are 35-21 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Mets are 53-5 (.914) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mets are 7-6 (.538) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 25-12 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .332 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Reds are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .281 (499 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Reds are batting just .229 against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .272 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Mets hitters have just 569 strikeouts in 2,916 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .321 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 58 double plays in 843 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 410 of 4,199 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .302 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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