- The Mets (70-39) are -350 favorites vs the Reds (44-63)
- Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (-), – ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (8-7), 3.61 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The Cincinnati Reds (+260) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-350) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 44-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-49 ATS.
Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +2.5 -110 | O 9 -110 | +260 |
| Mets | -2.5 -110 | U 9 -110 | -350 |
Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 away games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games at home (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 games at home (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 37 games at home (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Peter Alonso | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dunn | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+17.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 109 games (+18.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 109 games (+13.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+13.77 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 75 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-55 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6.51% ROI).
- 44-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -5.89% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.48% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -8.17% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 60-49 against the Run Line (+13.8 Units / 10.5% ROI).
- 70-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.75 Units / 11.7% ROI
- 57-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 6.09% ROI
- 45-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -14.36% ROI
Justin Dunn: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (56/337) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (26/51) against Chris Bassitt on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 72% (13/18) against Chris Bassitt — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% (167/337) against Chris Bassitt this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Reds are just 9-49 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Reds are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Reds are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are 35-21 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Mets are 60-5 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Mets are 51-5 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mets are 60-3 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .334 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .279 (481 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .622 (1,879 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .497 (96 PA’s) against RHP this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .562 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .272 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.066 (199 PA’s) in the first 3 innings over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 56 double plays in 827 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,020 of 10,326 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have walked 213 of 2,382 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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