Reds vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mets (70-39) are -350 favorites vs the Reds (44-63)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (-), ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (8-7), 3.61 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNY

The Cincinnati Reds (+260) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-350) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 44-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-49 ATS.

Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+2.5 -110O 9 -110+260
Mets -2.5 -110U 9 -110-350

Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 away games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games at home (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 games at home (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 37 games at home (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
James McCann 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
James McCann 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Peter Alonso 1.5 +160 1.5 -250

Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
James McCann 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dunn 3.5 -110 3.5 -125
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+17.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 109 games (+18.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 109 games (+13.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+13.77 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 75 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-55 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6.51% ROI).

  • 44-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -5.89% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.48% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -8.17% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 60-49 against the Run Line (+13.8 Units / 10.5% ROI).

  • 70-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.75 Units / 11.7% ROI
  • 57-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 6.09% ROI
  • 45-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -14.36% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (56/337) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (26/51) against Chris Bassitt on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 72% (13/18) against Chris Bassitt — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% (167/337) against Chris Bassitt this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Reds are just 9-49 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Reds are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Reds are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Mets are 35-21 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Mets are 60-5 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Mets are 51-5 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Mets are 60-3 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Reds hitters are slugging just .334 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .279 (481 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .622 (1,879 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .497 (96 PA’s) against RHP this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Mets hitters are slugging .562 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .272 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

The Mets have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.066 (199 PA’s) in the first 3 innings over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 56 double plays in 827 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,020 of 10,326 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have walked 213 of 2,382 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.