- The Reds are -105 favorites vs the Mets
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Watch the game on SNY
The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on Friday, September 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 76-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 63-83 ATS.
Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 +100 | -105 |
| Mets | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -120 | -115 |
Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+16.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 away games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
| David Peterson | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 away games (+24.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 90 of their last 147 games (+23.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 57 away games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.74 Units / 47% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games at home (+18.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+14.78 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+6.82 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 90-58 against the Run Line (+22.25 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- 76-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 8.29% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -7.03% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -1.81% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 63-83 against the Run Line (-29.55 Units / -16.02% ROI).
- 68-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -29 Units / -15.01% ROI
- 59-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.55 Units / -18.97% ROI
- 81-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.15 Units / 10.07% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (161/460) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has averaged 98.5 MPH on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (66/238) against Hunter Greene since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 98.8 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.6 MPH on the 150 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,633/2,739) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (278/527) of right-handed hitters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .378 (96-for-254) against David Peterson on pitches in the strike zone this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .290 — second Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Reds are just 39-43 (.476) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 44-35 (.557) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are 25-48 (.342) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are just 5-37 (.119) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Mets are just 2-64 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are 147-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets are just 11-54 (.169) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 44% in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .188 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,785 of 18,181 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 547 of 5,519 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have walked 124 of 1,279 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Finger, D15
- Brett Baty (Mets): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Lat, D15
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
- Alexander Young (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Toe, D15
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
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