- The Reds (50-75) are -115 favorites vs the Nationals (42-85)
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-4), 4.35 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (4-17), 6.80 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.
The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 48-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-72 ATS.
Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Nationals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 58-65 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.43% ROI).
- 48-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -10.85% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.47% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.98% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-72 against the Run Line (-27.9 Units / -18.51% ROI).
- 41-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -16.49% ROI
- 61-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.29% ROI
- 56-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -7.73% ROI
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.1 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 63.1.
Nick Lodolo had a strike rate of just 60% (49/82) — 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — seventh Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 48% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches (55/115) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .379 (94-for-248) against Patrick Corbin on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .358 (78-for-218) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .268 (68-for-254) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .170 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .352 (287 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Reds are just 24-39 (.381) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Reds are just 26-36 (.419) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Reds are just 17-60 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Reds are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Nationals are just 19-46 (.292) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Nationals are just 42-72 (.368) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 14-76 (.156) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Nationals are just 106-24 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .677 (3,285 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Reds hitters are slugging just .346 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Reds are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Reds hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 349 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 67 double plays in 968 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .289 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,079 of 11,018 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Nationals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 78 double plays in 983 opportunities (8%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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