Reds vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2022, 9:54 AM
  • The Reds (50-75) are -115 favorites vs the Nationals (42-85)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-4), 4.35 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (4-17), 6.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Reds vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 48-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-72 ATS.

Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +140O 8.5 -110-115
Nationals +1.5 -165U 8.5 -110-105

Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+16.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    C.J. Abrams 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
    Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Joey Meneses 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Luke Voit 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

    Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    C.J. Abrams 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
    Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Joey Meneses 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Lane Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
    Luke Voit 0.5 -185 0.5 +130

    Nationals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    C.J. Abrams 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Joey Meneses 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Luke Voit 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+15.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 64 of their last 114 games (+13.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 58-65 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.43% ROI).

    • 48-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -10.85% ROI
    • 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.47% ROI
    • 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.98% ROI

    Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-72 against the Run Line (-27.9 Units / -18.51% ROI).

    • 41-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -16.49% ROI
    • 61-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.29% ROI
    • 56-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -7.73% ROI

    Nick Lodolo has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.1 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 63.1.

    Nick Lodolo had a strike rate of just 60% (49/82) — 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — seventh Percentile.

    Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — second Percentile.

    Hitters have swung at 48% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches (55/115) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

    Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .379 (94-for-248) against Patrick Corbin on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.

    Division opponents are hitting .358 (78-for-218) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .268 (68-for-254) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .170 — 0 Percentile.

    Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .352 (287 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.

    Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

    The Reds are just 24-39 (.381) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

    The Reds are just 26-36 (.419) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

    The Reds are just 17-60 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

    The Reds are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

    Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

    The Nationals are just 19-46 (.292) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

    The Nationals are just 42-72 (.368) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

    The Nationals are just 14-76 (.156) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

    The Nationals are just 106-24 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

    Reds hitters have an OPS of just .677 (3,285 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    Reds hitters are slugging just .346 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

    The Reds are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

    Reds hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .553.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 349 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 67 double plays in 968 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .289 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

    Reds pitchers have walked 1,079 of 11,018 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.

    Nationals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 78 double plays in 983 opportunities (8%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Nationals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.