- The Reds are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Reds vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Nationals TV Channel: RDTV | NATV | WTTG
The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on August 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Reds are 56-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 67-48 ATS.
Reds vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 6-7, 3.93 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 8-5, 3.53 ERA
Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -115 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -105 | -115 |
Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorbit Vivas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.45 Units / 75% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+6.80 Units / 136% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 61-52 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -2.76% ROI).
- 56-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 60-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 2.14% ROI
- 52-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -10.7% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 67-48 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 6.05% ROI).
- 56-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 4.08% ROI
- 63-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.95 Units / 8.53% ROI
- 48-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.1 Units / -16.35% ROI
Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | +310 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +390 |
| JJ Bleday | +400 |
| Sal Stewart | +425 |
| Dylan Crews | +475 |
Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Abimelec Ortiz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Tena | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds were just 6-61 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Nationals were just 55-3 (.932) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .220 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .209 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .433 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .766 (4,532 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .438 against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .552 (2,354 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (520.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 1.86 runs per game (218/117) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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