- The Reds are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
- Reds vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Nationals TV Channel: RDTV | NATV
The Cincinnati Reds (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on August 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Reds are 56-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 68-48 ATS.
Reds vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 13-1, 2.35 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Andrew Alvarez 2-3, 3.96 ERA
Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -105 | -145 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -115 | +120 |
Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+16.00 Units / 229% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 82% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 61-53 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -3.61% ROI).
- 56-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -1.97% ROI
- 60-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.3% ROI
- 53-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -9.81% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 68-48 against the Run Line (+10.75 Units / 6.77% ROI).
- 57-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 4.83% ROI
- 63-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.9 Units / 7.65% ROI
- 49-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.1 Units / -15.44% ROI
Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | +310 |
| Sal Stewart | +360 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +360 |
| JJ Bleday | +400 |
| Elly De La Cruz | +450 |
Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Noelvi Marte | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dane Myers | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Noelvi Marte | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 6-61 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds were just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 22-76 (.224) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .209 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .220 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .304 (3,329 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .439 this season — best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .258 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .758 (2,361 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Nationals have scored 1.83 runs per game (216/118) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The softest ball hit off of the Reds pitchers this season was 29.8 MPH — highest in MLB
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.26 (529.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 5.84 runs per game (339/58) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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