Reds vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Reds are -110 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Reds vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Reds / Nationals TV Channel: PEAC

The Cincinnati Reds (-110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Reds are 56-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 69-48 ATS.

Reds vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 5-10, 4.66 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-2, 7.88 ERA

Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +145O 9.5 -115-110
Nationals +1.5 -180U 9.5 -105-110

Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+17.10 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 61-54 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -4.2% ROI).

  • 56-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -3.02% ROI
  • 61-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 53-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -10.59% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 69-48 against the Run Line (+11.75 Units / 7.33% ROI).

  • 58-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.7% ROI
  • 64-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.9 Units / 8.35% ROI
  • 49-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.2 Units / -16.15% ROI

Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
CJ Abrams +240
Eugenio Suarez +310
Sal Stewart +310
JJ Bleday +340
Elly De La Cruz +360

Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Daylen Lile 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Sal Stewart 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Dylan Crews 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt McLain 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Dane Myers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
JJ Bleday 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sal Stewart 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds were just 6-61 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 22-76 (.224) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals were just 55-3 (.932) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Reds are batting just .210 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .220 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .220 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .438 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .776 (1,386 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .433 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .439 this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.20 (538.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Reds vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.