- The Reds are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- Reds vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Nationals TV Channel: FDOH | MASN | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (-130) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+110) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Reds are 52-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 50-51 ATS.
Reds vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 7-6, 3.36 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 3-7, 5.11 ERA
Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -130 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -115 | +110 |
Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Amed Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+17.10 Units / 285% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brady House has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brady House has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.19 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.77 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 53-48 against the Run Line (-2.68 Units / -1.96% ROI).
- 52-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -1.76% ROI
- 41-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.14 Units / -19.82% ROI
- 58-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 11.57% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 50-51 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -8.46% ROI).
- 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.32 Units / -10.51% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 4.22% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.1 Units / -12.71% ROI
Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brady House (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brady House (WAS) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Michael Soroka (WAS) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .421 (16-for-38) against Nick Lodolo’s low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/65) against Nick Lodolo’s breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed a slugging percentage of .579 (22 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .402 — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (9/35) against Nick Lodolo in his last two starts — 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 40 ABs ending on a two-strike curveball from Mike Soroka. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Mike Soroka has allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (8 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 99th Percentile.
Mike Soroka has allowed a slugging percentage of .594 (38 Total Bases / 64 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .358 — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 40 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Mike Soroka. — Yariel Rodriguez has the longest active streak at 45.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 25-5 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Reds are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Nationals are just 34-2 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Nationals are just 39-52 (.424) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 20-30 (.392) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .550.
The Nationals are just 40-60 (.396) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .642 (1,183 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Nationals are batting .166 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .264 (1,915 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Nationals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have allowed 1.95 runs per game (197/101) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (17 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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