- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Orioles TV Channel: FDOH | MAS2
The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Reds are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-11 ATS.
Reds vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-0, 1.80 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-1, 3.69 ERA
Reds vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Reds | +1.5 -150 | O 9 +100 | +135 |
Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -120 | -160 |
Reds vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+10.10 Units / 168% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 163 games (+16.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 163 games (+12.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 163 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 86 of their last 164 games (+16.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+5.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 164 games (+3.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 11-8 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.92% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -5.96% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -13.91% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 5.97% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -22.16% ROI).
- 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -16.63% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 23.92% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -30.08% ROI
Orioles vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Orioles vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 27 of 234 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 22% (10/46) against Andrew Abbott on low breaking pitches in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (103/362) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .396 (21-for-53) against Cade Povich this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .431 (22-for-51) against Cade Povich on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .353 (12-for-34) against Cade Povich when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .186 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (10/34) against Cade Povich on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are 72-27 (.727) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Orioles are 148-22 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Orioles are 51-40 (.560) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .149 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .146 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .438 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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