Reds vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Reds / Orioles TV Channel: FDOH | MAS2

The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Reds are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-11 ATS.

Reds vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-0, 1.80 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-1, 3.69 ERA

Reds vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -150O 9 +100+135
Orioles -1.5 +125U 9 -120-160

Reds vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+10.10 Units / 168% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 163 games (+16.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 163 games (+12.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 163 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 86 of their last 164 games (+16.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+5.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 164 games (+3.35 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 11-8 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.92% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -5.96% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -13.91% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 5.97% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -22.16% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -16.63% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 23.92% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -30.08% ROI

Orioles vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gary Sanchez (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Austin Hays (CIN) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Ramon Laureano (BAL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Orioles vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Santiago Espinal (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Matt McLain (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Gary Sanchez (BAL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -220
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235

Orioles vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Abbott (CIN) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Cade Povich (BAL) 4.5 -110 4.5 -120

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 27 of 234 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 22% (10/46) against Andrew Abbott on low breaking pitches in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (103/362) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .396 (21-for-53) against Cade Povich this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .431 (22-for-51) against Cade Povich on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .353 (12-for-34) against Cade Povich when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .186 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (10/34) against Cade Povich on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Orioles are 72-27 (.727) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Orioles are 148-22 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Orioles are 51-40 (.560) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.

Reds hitters are slugging just .149 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Reds are batting just .146 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters are slugging .438 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.