- The Reds are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
- Reds vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Orioles TV Channel: FDOH | MAS2
The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Reds are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-12 ATS.
Reds vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 2-1, 0.97 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Reds vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +154 | O 9 -105 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -115 | -115 |
Reds vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.60 Units / 210% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+22.00 Units / 314% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games at home (+9.35 Units / 156% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 164 games (+15.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 94 of their last 164 games (+13.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 164 games (+8.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 165 games (+17.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games at home (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 165 games (+2.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 12-8 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 5.15% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.66% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.14% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -25.14% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -22.69% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 27.34% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -33.41% ROI
Orioles vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Young (BAL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has a strike rate of 74% (280/380) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 112 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed an OPS of just .372 (99 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed an OBP of just .162 (99 PA’s) this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 4-71 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Orioles are 71-7 (.910) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Orioles are 148-22 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Orioles are 103-69 (.599) on the road since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .149 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .163 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .415 (140 PA’s) against LHP this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .668.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
More MLB Reading:
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