Reds vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 27, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Orioles are -145 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-145) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Reds vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 41-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 48-29 ATS.

Reds vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -165O 8.5 -110+120
Orioles -1.5 +140U 8.5 -110-145

Reds vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+10.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.80 Units / 73% ROI)

Orioles vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Jonathan India 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Joey Votto 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Spencer Steer 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Orioles vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Jonathan India 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Joey Votto 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Spencer Steer 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Orioles vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl 0.5 +300 0.5 -450
Jonathan India 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Joey Votto 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Spencer Steer 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Orioles vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Wells 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
Andrew Abbott 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 57 games (+18.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 74 games (+19.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 64 games (+18.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+4.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 49-30 against the Run Line (+16.4 Units / 16.33% ROI).

  • 41-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 12.51% ROI
  • 46-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.35 Units / 11.99% ROI
  • 33-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -20.05% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-29 against the Run Line (+17.7 Units / 17.93% ROI).

  • 48-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.55 Units / 18.98% ROI
  • 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 3.56% ROI
  • 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -11.66% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 9% (1/11) against Andrew Abbott — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of 48% (10 SO in 21 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 9 of 76 right-handed batters (12%) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Andrew Abbott allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (12 Total Bases / 15 ABs) against right-handed batters — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .365 — third Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .233 (335 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .200 (16-for-80) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .345 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (25-for-127) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .185 (58-for-313) against Tyler Wells this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Reds are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Reds are just 9-13 (.409) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Reds are just 21-29 (.420) after a home win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Orioles are 96-5 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Orioles are 20-9 (.690) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Orioles are 10-4 (.714) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .335 (3,035 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Games involving the Reds went OVER in 79% of their games (50.7% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

The Orioles are batting .413 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Orioles are 147-91 (.615) against the run line (14.5% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Orioles are 69-37 (.645) against the run line (21.2% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Orioles are batting just .160 with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Reds pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 910 of 9,326 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .155 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (1543.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Orioles vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Edward Lively (Reds): Pec, D15
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.