- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on MASN
The Cincinnati Reds (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Reds vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 42-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 48-30 ATS.
Reds vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -105 | +140 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 9.5 -115 | -165 |
Reds vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 33 games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+9.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Orioles vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 58 games (+19.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 79 games (+18.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+17.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+17.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 50-30 against the Run Line (+17.4 Units / 17.07% ROI).
- 42-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 13.91% ROI
- 46-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 10.52% ROI
- 34-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -18.68% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-30 against the Run Line (+16.7 Units / 16.75% ROI).
- 48-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +17 Units / 17.12% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 2.16% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -10.36% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has an ERA of 6.75 (96.0 IP)since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (96/321) against Luke Weaver since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .481 (13-for-27) against Luke Weaver on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (91 Total Bases / 149 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .419 — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OBP of .294 (180 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OPS of .659 (180 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .496 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 57% (157/277) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (9-for-51) against Kyle Gibson on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Reds are just 29-36 (.446) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.
The Reds are 18-8 (.692) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Reds are just 9-13 (.409) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Orioles are 19-92 (.171) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Orioles are 47-23 (.671) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Orioles are 20-9 (.690) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of .335 (3,035 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 69-37 (.645) against the run line (21.2% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Orioles are batting .413 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 61% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 910 of 9,326 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Reds pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 298 of 3,106 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.02 (1107.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .155 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Orioles pitchers have walked 144 of 2,131 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Pec, D15
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
Bet now on Reds vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
