- The Padres are -170 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Padres TV Channel: RDTV | PDTV
The Cincinnati Reds (+140) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-170) on June 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Reds are 32-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 34-30 ATS.
Reds vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 2-6, 5.93 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-5, 3.39 ERA
Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -105 | +140 |
| Padres | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -170 |
Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.70 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+15.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games at home (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 36-29 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -1.25% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 41-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.45 Units / 19.75% ROI
- 24-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.7 Units / -28.73% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 34-30 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.46% ROI).
- 34-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.44% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -15.96% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 7.46% ROI
Padres vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Manny Machado | +340 |
| JJ Bleday | +340 |
| Jackson Merrill | +390 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +390 |
| Gavin Sheets | +400 |
Padres vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty France | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Reds are 27-5 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Reds are just 4-10 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (seventh in runs allowed).
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Padres are 20-1 (.952) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Padres are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Padres are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds have an xwOBA of just .343 this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .204 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .648 (2,401 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OBP of just .280 (589 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,401 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
The Padres are batting just .216 this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.49 (130.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Reds vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.







