Reds vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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  • The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Reds / Padres TV Channel: WXIX | RDTV | PDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-140) on June 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Reds are 31-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-29 ATS.

Reds vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 4-3, 4.11 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 3-3, 4.53 ERA

Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -185O 7.5 +100+115
Padres -1.5 +150U 7.5 -120-140

Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (+2.15 Units / 4% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 35-28 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.48% ROI
  • 39-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.45 Units / 17.57% ROI
  • 24-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -26.59% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 33-29 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI).

  • 33-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.48% ROI
  • 26-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.65 Units / -19.31% ROI
  • 36-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 10.68% ROI

Padres vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Manny Machado +340
Eugenio Suarez +400
JJ Bleday +425
Sal Stewart +450
Fernando Tatis Jr. +475

Padres vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Ty France 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Sal Stewart 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Manny Machado 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Padres vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nathaniel Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Edwin Arroyo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
JJ Bleday 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sal Stewart 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Reds are 4-29 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Reds are just 3-9 (.250) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (eighth in runs allowed).

The Reds are 10-5 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (30th in runs scored).

The Reds are 26-5 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .756.

The Padres are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Padres are 100-6 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Reds are batting just .202 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .644 (2,317 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .207 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .214 this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .278 (554 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.49 (130.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 120 times this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.