- The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Padres TV Channel: WXIX | RDTV | PDTV
The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-140) on June 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Reds are 31-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-29 ATS.
Reds vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 4-3, 4.11 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 3-3, 4.53 ERA
Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -120 | -140 |
Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 46% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (+2.15 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 35-28 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.7% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 39-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.45 Units / 17.57% ROI
- 24-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -26.59% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 33-29 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI).
- 33-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.48% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.65 Units / -19.31% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 10.68% ROI
Padres vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Manny Machado | +340 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +400 |
| JJ Bleday | +425 |
| Sal Stewart | +450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +475 |
Padres vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ty France | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Edwin Arroyo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Reds are 4-29 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Reds are just 3-9 (.250) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (eighth in runs allowed).
The Reds are 10-5 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (30th in runs scored).
The Reds are 26-5 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .756.
The Padres are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Padres are 100-6 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .202 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .644 (2,317 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
The Padres are batting just .207 at home this season — lowest in MLB.
The Padres are batting just .214 this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OBP of just .278 (554 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.49 (130.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 120 times this season — 4th fewest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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