- The Phillies (66-55) are -225 favorites vs the Reds (48-71)
- Reds starting pitcher: Luis Cessa (3-1), 5.49 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (7-8), 3.94 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Cincinnati Reds (+185) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Reds vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 46-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 61-58 ATS.
Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 +100 | +185 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -120 | -225 |
Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 45 games at home (+19.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games at home (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Phillies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Syndergaard | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+15.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 38 away games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 66 of their last 116 games (+13.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.87% ROI).
- 46-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.18% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -7% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.35% ROI).
- 65-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.68% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.72% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -6.49% ROI
Luis Cessa: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .413 (19-for-46) against Luis Cessa with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Luis Cessa has allowed a slugging percentage of .674 (31 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (33/51) against Luis Cessa this season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Luis Cessa has struck out just 16% (40/244) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 28 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 23 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed a slugging percentage of .846 (22 Total Bases / 26 ABs) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .403 — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Reds are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Reds are just 3-57 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Reds are just 17-58 (.227) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 13-41 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Phillies are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 51-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 311 strikeouts in 1,271 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Reds are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds hitters are slugging just .338 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .283 (552 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .912 (183 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Phillies are batting .325 against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .385 (183 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies hitters are slugging .528 against LHP this month (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 64 double plays in 933 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 446 of 4,601 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,063 of 10,800 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,913 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
The Phillies have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,913 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed 481 barreled balls since the start of last season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Phillies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Ankle, D10
- Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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