Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies (66-55) are -225 favorites vs the Reds (48-71)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Luis Cessa (3-1), 5.49 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (7-8), 3.94 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-PH

The Cincinnati Reds (+185) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Reds vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 46-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 61-58 ATS.

Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 +100O 8.5 +100+185
Phillies -1.5 -120U 8.5 -120-225

Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 45 games at home (+19.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games at home (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Bradley Zimmer 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Bryson Stott 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Darick Hall 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Bradley Zimmer 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Bryson Stott 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Darick Hall 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Phillies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bradley Zimmer 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Bryson Stott 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Darick Hall 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +135 0.5 -200

Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Noah Syndergaard 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+15.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 38 away games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 66 of their last 116 games (+13.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.87% ROI).

  • 46-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.18% ROI
  • 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.51% ROI
  • 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -7% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.35% ROI).

  • 65-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.68% ROI
  • 58-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.72% ROI
  • 55-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -6.49% ROI

Opponents are hitting .413 (19-for-46) against Luis Cessa with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Luis Cessa has allowed a slugging percentage of .674 (31 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (33/51) against Luis Cessa this season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Luis Cessa has struck out just 16% (40/244) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 28 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 23 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has allowed a slugging percentage of .846 (22 Total Bases / 26 ABs) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .403 — third Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Reds are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Reds are just 3-57 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Reds are just 17-58 (.227) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are 13-41 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Phillies are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 51-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Reds hitters have 311 strikeouts in 1,271 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Reds are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Reds hitters are slugging just .338 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .283 (552 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .912 (183 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Phillies are batting .325 against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .385 (183 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Phillies hitters are slugging .528 against LHP this month (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 64 double plays in 933 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 446 of 4,601 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,063 of 10,800 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,913 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

The Phillies have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,913 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed 481 barreled balls since the start of last season — 5th fewest in MLB.

Phillies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Ankle, D10
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.