- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Phillies TV Channel: FDOH | NSPA
The Cincinnati Reds (+195) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-235) on Sunday, July 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Reds are 46-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 45-43 ATS.
Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 0-1, 12.72 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 8-3, 2.27 ERA
Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -102 | O 9 -110 | +195 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -118 | U 9 -110 | -235 |
Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
- Rece Hinds has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+16.20 Units / 180% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.55 Units / 93% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+7.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 86 games (+2.87 Units / 2% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 71 games (+13.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+10.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.78 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 63 games (+8.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.71 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-41 against the Run Line (-1.48 Units / -1.22% ROI).
- 46-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.29 Units / -15.7% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 7.41% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 45-43 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -1.09% ROI).
- 52-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -17.02% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.45 Units / 8.62% ROI
Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns (CIN) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -155 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Burns has limited playing time.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has a first-pitch in-zone of just 35% (19/54) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 57% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .166 (36-for-217) against Zack Wheeler this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (526/1,148) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .209 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-98 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Reds are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 9-25 (.265) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Phillies are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies are 52-37 (.584) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters are slugging just .362 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .410 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Phillies have scored first in 62% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Reds pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Phillies have allowed 2.50 runs per game (30/12) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (385.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Reds vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
