• The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Reds
• Reds vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Reds / Phillies TV Channel: RDTV | NSPA

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on May 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Reds are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 15-33 ATS.

Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 5-1, 1.87 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 3-3, 5.08 ERA

Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.45 Units / 51% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+16.05 Units / 161% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 28-19 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 5.63% ROI).

• 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -1.82% ROI
• 30-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 20.9% ROI
• 17-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -30.29% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-33 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -37.05% ROI).

• 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -6.8% ROI
• 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -4.06% ROI
• 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -3.8% ROI

Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Reds are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Reds are 20-4 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Reds are just 11-70 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Phillies are 13-3 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .643.

The Phillies are 15-9 (.625) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Phillies are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .208 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .122 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .219 (957 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .282 (880 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .216 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 44% against the Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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