• The Reds are -120 favorites vs the Pirates
• Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Reds / Pirates TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Cincinnati Reds (-120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) on June 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 38-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 40-40 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 9-1, 2.00 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 1-1, 5.76 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.60 Units / 136% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Blake Dunn has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Blake Dunn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.71 Units / 209% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 46% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 45-34 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 1.05% ROI).

• 38-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -4.46% ROI
• 47-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.55 Units / 13.02% ROI
• 32-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -21.98% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-40 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI).

• 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -8.33% ROI
• 46-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.85 Units / 10.91% ROI
• 33-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.35 Units / -19.25% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 5-35 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Reds are 33-7 (.825) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Reds are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Pirates are 24-16 (.600) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Pirates are just 9-62 (.127) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Pirates are just 16-106 (.131) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .217 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .212 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .457 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .795 (1,671 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 491 of their 1,405 plate appearances (35%) versus relief pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.60 (376.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (1,980 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .279 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 1.70 runs per game (139/82) in late innings this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 78 home runs this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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