• The Pirates are -140 favorites vs the Reds
• Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Reds / Pirates TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 39-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 40-41 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-6, 4.86 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 5-5, 4.89 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.60 Units / 136% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+10.70 Units / 119% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+8.25 Units / 55% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 46-34 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 2.33% ROI).

• 39-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -3.3% ROI
• 48-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.55 Units / 13.98% ROI
• 32-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.3 Units / -22.95% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-41 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.77% ROI).

• 41-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -9.23% ROI
• 47-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.85 Units / 11.87% ROI
• 33-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.45 Units / -20.22% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 5-35 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Reds are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Reds are 33-7 (.825) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Pirates are 24-17 (.585) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Pirates are just 13-51 (.203) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Pirates are just 2-115 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .212 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .460 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,712 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .772 (2,365 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.57 (376.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (2,006 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 1.71 runs per game (142/83) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Batters facing the Pirates pitchers put just 35% of their swings in play this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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