- The Pirates (56-97) are -160 favorites vs the Reds (60-93)
- Reds starting pitcher: Robert Anderson (2-3), 5.21 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras (5-5), 3.68 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on Monday, September 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 60-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 76-76 ATS.
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -105 | +135 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -115 | -160 |
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 away games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 54 games at home (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+8.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
| Roansy Contreras | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 125 games (+14.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 away games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 54 away games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.11 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 56 away games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 44 games at home (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 72-80 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -7.7% ROI).
- 60-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -9.81% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -7.4% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.16% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 76-76 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -4.14% ROI).
- 56-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -10.35% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -7% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -0.95% ROI
Robert Anderson: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (25/55) of opposing batters this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (6/25) against Chase Anderson — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 96th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (30/63) this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (9 Total Bases / 50 ABs) this month (4 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .402 — 97th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (19/54) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (7/59) against Roansy Contreras on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (71/204) against Roansy Contreras with runners in scoring position this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (20/117) against Roansy Contreras on breaking pitches this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 5-74 (.063) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Reds are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 8-29 (.216) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Reds are just 31-47 (.397) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 17-83 (.170) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Pirates are just 2-77 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Pirates are just 93-25 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Reds hitters have 757 strikeouts in 3,147 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .353 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Reds hitters are slugging just .371 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .143 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Pirates are batting just .138 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,186 of 12,040 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 569 of 5,841 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 24 of 204 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .278 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 94 of 853 batters (11%) this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,406 of 14,205 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,157 of 11,978 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 63% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Concussion, D7
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
- Eric Stout (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Lat, D15
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Toe, D60
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Michael Minor (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Eye, Day-to-Day
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D15
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