Reds vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Shane McClanahan works against a San Diego Padres batter during the first inning of a baseball game Friday, June 16, 2023, in San Diego.
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
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  • The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Reds / Rays TV Channel: WXIX | RDTV | RATV

The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on April 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Reds are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 12-9 ATS.

Reds vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 2-1, 3.47 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Cole Sulser 1-0, 4.38 ERA

Reds vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.85 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.35 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+8.75 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.20 Units / 117% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 14-8 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 9.75% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 28.54% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 12-9 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 6.65% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 14.01% ROI
  • 14-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 36.82% ROI
  • 5-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -45.81% ROI

Rays vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +340
Eugenio Suarez +375
Sal Stewart +425
Rece Hinds +450
Jonathan Aranda +550

Rays vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Sal Stewart 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Rays vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Spencer Steer 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Sal Stewart 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Reds are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Reds are 8-2 (.800) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Reds are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Reds are 14-8 (.636) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rays are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

Reds hitters are slugging just .311 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .183 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .202 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .167 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have put 43% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.