Reds vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh, right, watches as Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz hits a lead off single off Seattle starter Bryce Miller during the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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  • The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Reds / Rays TV Channel: RDTV | RATV

The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on April 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Reds are 16-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 12-11 ATS.

Reds vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson 2-1, 4.36 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-1, 2.46 ERA

Reds vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -185O 8.5 -110+115
Rays -1.5 +150U 8.5 -110-140

Reds vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 78% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+12.10 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+6.75 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Ben Williamson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+10.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 16-8 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 15.82% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 34.1% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 7.58% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -16.29% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 12-11 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -2.95% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.67% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 33.2% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.75 Units / -42.24% ROI

Rays vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +280
Eugenio Suarez +360
Sal Stewart +425
Yandy Diaz +425
Rece Hinds +450

Rays vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Sal Stewart 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt McLain 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan Vilade 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Spencer Steer 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Reds are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Reds are 10-2 (.833) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Reds are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Rays are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Reds are batting just .183 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .177 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .207 this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.