Reds vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 01, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Red Sox are -155 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-155) on Thursday, June 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Reds vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 26-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 28-27 ATS.

Reds vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -150O 9.5 -115+125
Red Sox -1.5 +125U 9.5 -105-155

Reds vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 73.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+20.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+20.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+12.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)

Red Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Jonathan India 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Rafael Devers 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Red Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jonathan India 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Rafael Devers 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Red Sox vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Jonathan India 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Rafael Devers 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Red Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Sale 6.5 -105 6.5 -125
Hunter Greene 6.5 +100 6.5 -130
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.20 Units / 33% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+8.9 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 4.41% ROI
  • 31-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 8.42% ROI
  • 24-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -16.64% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 28-27 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.24% ROI).

  • 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.79% ROI
  • 32-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 14.08% ROI
  • 21-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -24.38% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

keys to the game – away

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Red Sox are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 7-86 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Red Sox are just 6-8 (.429) after a home loss this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Red Sox are just 5-15 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .674 (5,884 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .462 (1,132 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Reds hitters are slugging just .369 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .280 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Red Sox are batting .348 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Red Sox are hitting .344 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .338 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 483 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,384 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Red Sox vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
  • Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
  • Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
  • Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.