- The Red Sox are -155 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
- Watch the game on NESN
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-155) on Thursday, June 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 26-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 28-27 ATS.
Reds vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -150 | O 9.5 -115 | +125 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -105 | -155 |
Reds vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 73.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+20.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+20.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+12.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
Red Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Red Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 60% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+8.9 Units / 12.81% ROI).
- 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 4.41% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 8.42% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -16.64% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 28-27 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.24% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 32-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 14.08% ROI
- 21-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -24.38% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
keys to the game – away
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Red Sox are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 7-86 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Red Sox are just 6-8 (.429) after a home loss this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are just 5-15 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .674 (5,884 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .462 (1,132 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Reds hitters are slugging just .369 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .280 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .348 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox are hitting .344 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .338 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 483 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,384 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Red Sox vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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