Reds vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 17, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Reds are -105 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-115) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Reds vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 19-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 20-23 ATS.

Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +145O 11.5 -115-105
Rockies +1.5 -175U 11.5 -105-115

Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+13.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.70 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Rockies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan India 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Elias Diaz 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Rockies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Elias Diaz 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Spencer Steer 1.5 +170 1.5 -225

Rockies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan India 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Elias Diaz 0.5 +125 0.5 -160

Rockies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Gomber 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
Graham Ashcraft 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 40% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-17 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 14.56% ROI).

  • 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -2.84% ROI
  • 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.88% ROI
  • 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -9.21% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 20-23 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -11.35% ROI).

  • 18-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 17-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -24.9% ROI
  • 26-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 16.77% ROI

Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .299 vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– ninth Percentile and just .156 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (4-for-26) against Graham Ashcraft on low fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 85th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .299 (26-for-87) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — ninth Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .156 (12-for-77) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 94th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .788 (41 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 3% (1 SO in 38 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (66/203) against Austin Gomber on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .462 (24-for-52) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .275 — 0 Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Reds are 6-19 (.240) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Reds are just 34-44 (.436) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.

The Reds are just 21-31 (.404) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rockies are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rockies are just 43-37 (.538) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Rockies are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rockies are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Reds hitters are slugging just .368 against RHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Reds hitters have 23 strikeouts in 69 PA’s (33%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Reds have won just 20% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Reds hitters are slugging just .215 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Reds pitchers have walked 765 of 7,853 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .325 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .359 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Rockies pitchers have walked 46 of 374 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have walked 171 of 1,805 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
  • Terry Friedl (Reds): Oblique, D10
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.