- The Reds are -105 favorites vs the Rockies
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-115) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Reds vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 19-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 20-23 ATS.
Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | O 11.5 -115 | -105 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -175 | U 11.5 -105 | -115 |
Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+13.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rockies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Elias Diaz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Spencer Steer | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-17 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 14.56% ROI).
- 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -2.84% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -9.21% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 20-23 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -11.35% ROI).
- 18-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.4% ROI
- 17-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -24.9% ROI
- 26-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 16.77% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .299 vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– ninth Percentile and just .156 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (4-for-26) against Graham Ashcraft on low fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 85th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .299 (26-for-87) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — ninth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .156 (12-for-77) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 94th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .788 (41 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 3% (1 SO in 38 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (66/203) against Austin Gomber on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .462 (24-for-52) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .275 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Reds are 6-19 (.240) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Reds are just 34-44 (.436) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Reds are just 21-31 (.404) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 43-37 (.538) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Rockies are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rockies are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .368 against RHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Reds hitters have 23 strikeouts in 69 PA’s (33%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Reds have won just 20% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .215 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have walked 765 of 7,853 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .325 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .359 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 46 of 374 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 171 of 1,805 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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