- The Reds are -110 favorites vs the Royals
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cincinnati Reds (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Monday, June 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Reds vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 31-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 24-41 ATS.
Reds vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -105 | -110 |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -115 | -110 |
Reds vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Royals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Royals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Luke Weaver | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 39-27 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 11.22% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 3.9% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 7.76% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -15.94% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 24-41 against the Run Line (-23.95 Units / -29.94% ROI).
- 18-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.7 Units / -36.08% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -17.56% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 8.36% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .610 (64 Total Bases / 105 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .418 — second Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .404 (42 Total Bases / 104 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .277 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .231 (24-for-104) against Luke Weaver with two-strikes this season — tied for 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .176 — 14th Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (107 Total Bases / 192 ABs) this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .418 — sixth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 86th Percentile and .544 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 9 of 273 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 5 of 155 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 30% (123 SO in 416 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Reds are just 24-23 (.511) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are just 22-10 (.688) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Royals are just 1-23 (.042) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Royals are just 5-9 (.357) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
The Royals are just 5-64 (.072) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
The Royals are just 11-9 (.550) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Reds are batting .262 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,221 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting just .194 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,679 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Reds pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 6% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 829 of 8,722 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Reds vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
