- The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 32-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 24-42 ATS.
Reds vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +140 | O 10 -115 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 10 -105 | -105 |
Reds vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.30 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 64% ROI)
Royals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+7.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 40-27 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 12.12% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 5.24% ROI
- 38-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 9.02% ROI
- 29-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -17.29% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 24-42 against the Run Line (-24.95 Units / -30.8% ROI).
- 18-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.8 Units / -37.1% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -15.93% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 6.58% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (203/423) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson allowed an OPS of 1.170 (27 PA’s) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .688 — first Percentile.
Brandon Williamson allowed a slugging percentage of .947 (18 Total Bases / 19 ABs) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .399 — first Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has allowed an OPS of 1.170 (27 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: .701 — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.84 (73.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.75 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .438 (21-for-48) against Jordan Lyles with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (532/1,054) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .806 (87 Total Bases / 108 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .408 — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Reds are just 24-23 (.511) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are 9-23 (.281) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Royals are just 5-13 (.278) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Royals are just 5-64 (.072) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
The Royals are just 5-19 (.208) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Royals are just 11-9 (.550) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .192 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,566 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting just .196 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Reds pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 832 of 8,762 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 6% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Reds vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
