- The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Wednesday, June 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 33-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 25-42 ATS.
Reds vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -120 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 +100 | -105 |
Reds vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+16.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+12.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Royals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Royals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Royals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+6.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 40-28 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 10.82% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 6.53% ROI
- 38-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 7.48% ROI
- 30-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -15.71% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 25-42 against the Run Line (-23.95 Units / -28.98% ROI).
- 18-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.85 Units / -38.03% ROI
- 28-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -17.13% ROI
- 37-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 7.82% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Lively has not allowed a hit to any of the last 35 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Richard Lovelady has the longest active streak at 43.
Ben Lively has an ERA of 7.90 (13.2 IP) — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.87 — fourth Percentile.
Ben Lively has a strike rate of just 61% (119/196) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 9th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 16th Percentile.
Ben Lively has a strike rate of just 61% (119/196) — 15th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 13th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (45/142) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (40/122) against Daniel Lynch on sliders since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (10/36) against Daniel Lynch over the last 14 days (2 games) — 3rd lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (58/114) against Daniel Lynch on sliders since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Reds are just 24-23 (.511) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Reds are 11-6 (.647) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Reds are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Royals are just 5-9 (.357) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
The Royals are just 1-23 (.042) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Royals are just 5-64 (.072) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Royals are just 9-25 (.265) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .372 against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Reds hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 743 of their 2,601 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,197 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Reds pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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