- The Reds are -120 favorites vs the Tigers
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Cincinnati Reds (-120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+100) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Reds vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 74-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 74-69 ATS.
Reds vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -110 | -120 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | +100 |
Reds vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 34 games (+18.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+14.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+13.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 144 games (+25.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 away games (+23.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 away games (+13.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 132 games (+11.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.08 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (+4.88 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 89-56 against the Run Line (+24.15 Units / 12.56% ROI).
- 74-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 7.74% ROI
- 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -7.77% ROI
- 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.1% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 74-69 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.71% ROI).
- 66-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 4.23% ROI
- 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -6.81% ROI
- 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.67% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright threw breaking pitches 59% of the time (384/652) when ahead in the count in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .207 (80-for-387) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 19% (133/696) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .193 (45-for-233) against Matt Manning on pitches in the strike zone this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed a BABIP of .216 this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (6/67) against Matt Manning on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed a BABIP of .202 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Reds are just 14-20 (.412) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are just 44-34 (.564) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 13-57 (.186) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Tigers are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Tigers are just 20-122 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 19-83 (.186) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Tigers are just 30-41 (.423) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .419 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Reds are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Reds are batting just .140 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,520 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (8,520 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .361 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 255 of 2,721 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (410.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Young (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Toe, D15
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Noelvi Marte (Reds): Face, Day-to-Day
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