- The Tigers are -140 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Connor Phillips
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-140) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 75-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 75-69 ATS.
Reds vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -140 |
Reds vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+17.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 away games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 35 games (+19.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Tigers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 145 games (+24.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 away games (+24.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 56 games (+18.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 away games (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 56% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 133 games (+10.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.58 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (+4.88 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 89-57 against the Run Line (+23.15 Units / 11.98% ROI).
- 75-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 8.3% ROI
- 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -7.09% ROI
- 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.78% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 75-69 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -3.13% ROI).
- 66-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.56% ROI
- 68-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -6.14% ROI
- 70-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -2.36% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Phillips has limited playing time.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.18 (53.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 4.35 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.97 (82.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .192 (151 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .258 (33-for-128) against Eduardo Rodriguez when he’s behind in the count since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 97th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Reds are just 44-34 (.564) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 24-47 (.338) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Reds are 21-9 (.700) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Tigers are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Tigers are 18-7 (.720) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Tigers are 51-18 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Tigers are just 20-122 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Reds hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters are averaging 3.96 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Reds are batting just .140 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (8,541 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .351 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (5,602 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (656 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,158 of 11,900 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (410.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Young (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Toe, D15
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
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