Reds vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
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  • The White Sox are -165 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Reds / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | RDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Reds are 56-61 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 67-47 ATS.

Reds vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 4-7, 5.24 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 7-6, 3.08 ERA

Reds vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -150O 7.5 -105+135
White Sox -1.5 +125U 7.5 -115-165

Reds vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+15.80 Units / 226% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+15.50 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+3.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+18.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 61-55 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -4.79% ROI).

  • 56-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -3.75% ROI
  • 61-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 1.16% ROI
  • 54-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -9.72% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 67-47 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 3.73% ROI).

  • 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 10.08% ROI
  • 66-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.4 Units / 9.68% ROI
  • 49-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.95 Units / -18.52% ROI

White Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +300
Colson Montgomery +320
Eugenio Suarez +350
Miguel Vargas +350
Sal Stewart +375

White Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Sal Stewart 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

White Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hector Rodriguez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Reds were just 6-61 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The White Sox were just 3-58 (.049) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The White Sox were just 4-40 (.091) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .220 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .210 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have grounded into 52 double plays in 825 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .477 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.18 (307.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.