- The White Sox are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver, 0.00 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Chicago White Sox (-145) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs White Sox Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Reds are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 3-3 ATS.
Reds vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 10.5 -110 | +120 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +140 | U 10.5 -110 | -145 |
Reds vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.30 Units / 108% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.25 Units / 54% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -17.39% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.64% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -24.55% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 6.4% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -15.06% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -35.38% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 26.87% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.1 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Luke Weaver walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — tied for 12th best among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 58% of Luke Weaver’s pitches (93/161) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Luke Weaver threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 79% (22/28) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — tied for 13th highest among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease walked 54 of 480 batters (11%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease allowed a slugging percentage of just .165 (65 Total Bases / 393 ABs) with two-strikes last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds are just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Reds are just 6-176 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Reds are just 11-76 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Reds are just 24-83 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters slugged just .366 against RHP last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,050 PA’s) at home since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Reds hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,229 of 12,419 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers walked 612 of 6,220 batters (10%) last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,442 of 14,544 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
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