Rockies vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 16

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Astros are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on April 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rockies are 6-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 8-11 ATS.

Rockies vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Juan Mejia 0-2, 5.40 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Ryan Weiss 0-2, 7.15 ERA

Rockies vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Tomoyuki Sugano has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+9.75 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.35 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.40 Units / 80% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 11-7 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 11.69% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -11.94% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -25.94% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 17.65% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-11 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -12.72% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -23.83% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 28.44% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -39.56% ROI

Astros vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +240
Hunter Goodman +340
Mickey Moniak +340
Christian Walker +340
Isaac Paredes +390

Astros vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Carlos Correa 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Mickey Moniak 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
TJ Rumfield 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Astros vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Joey Loperfido 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Troy Johnston 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Kyle Karros 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Taylor Trammell 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies are just 32-97 (.248) after a loss since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Rockies are just 49-131 (.272) since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Astros were 41-8 (.837) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Astros are just 1-7 (.125) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Astros are 7-2 (.778) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies won just 48% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters slugged just .330 on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .871 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .462 (80 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .524 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.00 (1407.1 IP) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.50 (732.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.17 (163.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 4.32 runs per game (82/19) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.