- The Astros are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Bielak
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on Tuesday, July 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 33-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 45-40 ATS.
Rockies vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 9 -105 | +155 |
| Astros | -1.5 +100 | U 9 -115 | -190 |
Rockies vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 77.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 80% ROI)
Astros vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Astros vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Abreu | 1.5 +210 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Astros vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Brandon Bielak | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+7.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 34 away games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 33 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 54 games (+13.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 39-47 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -11.78% ROI).
- 33-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -10.46% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.8 Units / -15.49% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 7.57% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 45-40 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 2.3% ROI).
- 47-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -2.18% ROI
- 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.61% ROI
- 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -5.43% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .495 (55 Total Bases / 111 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (123/709) against Kyle Freeland this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (22/134) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (9/92) against Kyle Freeland on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Bielak has a strike rate of just 59% (475/803) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has induced opposing hitters to ground into 8 double plays in 41 opportunities (20%) this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has allowed a slugging percentage of .723 (34 Total Bases / 47 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .423 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .275 (117-for-426) against Brandon Bielak since the 2021 season — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .231 — sixth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rockies are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 23-57 (.288) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Rockies are just 51-44 (.537) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Rockies are just 67-33 (.670) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Astros are 72-9 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Astros are 28-17 (.622) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Astros are 9-5 (.643) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Astros are 135-38 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .286 (919 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 853 strikeouts in 4,767 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 91% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters have just 473 strikeouts in 2,686 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.84 (748.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 8.36 (98.0 IP) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Framber Valdez (Astros): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder inflammation, D15
- Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
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