Rockies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Dinelson Lamet
  • Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Friday, June 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Rockies vs Braves Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 29-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 31-38 ATS.

Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +105O 10.5 -110+200
Braves -1.5 -130U 10.5 -110-250

Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 87.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+9.20 Units / 42% ROI)

Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Coco Montes 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Randal Grichuk 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Coco Montes 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Coco Montes 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dinelson Lamet 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Jared Shuster 4.5 +120 4.5 -155
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 52 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+13.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 34-37 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -7.19% ROI).

  • 29-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 30-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.15 Units / -19.24% ROI
  • 41-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 11.09% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 31-38 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -9.06% ROI).

  • 43-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 2.34% ROI
  • 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 12.43% ROI
  • 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -21.33% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

keys to the game – away

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Braves are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

The Braves are 12-9 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Braves are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .343 (4,412 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

Braves hitters are slugging .540 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .897 (687 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

The Braves are batting .275 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Braves hitters are slugging .451 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Rockies pitchers have walked 70 of 619 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have walked 195 of 2,050 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
  • Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
  • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.