- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-300) on Saturday, June 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Braves Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 29-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 32-38 ATS.
Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -115 | O 10 -110 | +240 |
| Braves | -2.5 -105 | U 10 -110 | -300 |
Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 89.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+15.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+17.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+17.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Connor Seabold | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 49 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 70 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 34-38 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -8.28% ROI).
- 29-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 30-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.25 Units / -20.35% ROI
- 42-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.6 Units / 12.21% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 32-38 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -7.71% ROI).
- 44-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 10.81% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -19.73% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (3 Total Bases / 24 ABs) vs left-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.
Connor Seabold has a strikeout rate of just 32% (42 SO in 132 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Connor Seabold has located his pitches away 58% of the time (138/237) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (42 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .390 — third Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (280/586) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (77/119) against Bryce Elder this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .161 (24-for-149) against Bryce Elder’s non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (124/221) against Bryce Elder this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Rockies are just 48-41 (.539) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 23-52 (.307) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are 36-23 (.610) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 12-9 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Braves are 6-20 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .287 (745 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .540 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .897 (687 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .816 (2,325 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Rockies pitchers over the last 30 days (28 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 72 of 627 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Braves pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Rockies vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
