- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+230) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-300) on Sunday, June 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Braves Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 29-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-38 ATS.
Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -135 | O + | +230 |
| Braves | -2.5 +110 | U + | -300 |
Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 88.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+10.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+18.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -140 |
| Charlie Morton | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 54 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 71 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 34-39 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -9.36% ROI).
- 29-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 31-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.25 Units / -18.84% ROI
- 42-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 10.66% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 33-38 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -6.38% ROI).
- 45-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 3.92% ROI
- 40-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 11.95% ROI
- 28-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.35 Units / -20.85% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% (32/105) against Chase Anderson this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to May 27th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 11.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .146 (6 GB hits out of 41 GBs) against Chase Anderson this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (15/48) against Chase Anderson over the past seven days (1 games) — 10th best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 24% — 85th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (386/918) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 95th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (968/2,138) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (121/294) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (28 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 40-79 (.336) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Rockies are just 19-8 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 23-53 (.303) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Rockies are just 6-7 (.462) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are 36-23 (.610) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 12-9 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Braves are 10-5 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .286 (748 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .897 (687 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Braves hitters are slugging .540 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters are slugging .453 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves hitters are slugging .473 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 73 of 636 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (1055.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Sean Murphy (Braves): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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