Rockies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves are -375 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (6-7), 5.16 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (8-4), 2.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+300) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-375) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-120).

The Rockies vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 55-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-62 ATS.

Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 +100O 8 -105+300
Braves -2.5 -120U 8 -115-375

Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s matchup with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+8.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 away games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 58 of his last 80 games (+18.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 68 of his last 118 games (+17.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 games at home (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 46 games at home (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Matt Olson 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Michael Harris 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Dansby Swanson 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Michael Harris 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Matt Olson 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Michael Harris 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Strider 7.5 -125 7.5 -115
Chad Kuhl 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 105 games (+24.42 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 69-59 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 2.71% ROI).

  • 55-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.49% ROI
  • 60-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 61-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -3.81% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.64% ROI).

  • 78-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 3.18% ROI
  • 64-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 1.55% ROI
  • 56-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -10.16% ROI

Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 56% (764/1,373) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .453 (34-for-75) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 0 Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 7.51 (50.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.90 — first Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 6.73 (97.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 4.09 — first Percentile.

Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Strider has struck out 42% (87/205) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (184/454) against Spencer Strider this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (158 SO in 430 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

61% of Spencer Strider’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Rockies are just 20-43 (.317) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-36 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Rockies are just 50-59 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Braves are 71-15 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Braves are 31-4 (.886) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Braves are just 68-8 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .310 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5.

Braves hitters are slugging .665 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .554.

Braves hitters are slugging .305 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Braves hitters are slugging .442 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.1).

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
  • Jackson Stephens (Braves): Concussion, D7
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.