Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (50-43) are -275 favorites vs the Rockies (43-50)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-5), 4.95 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (7-4), 2.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 43-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 39-54 ATS.

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +105O 7 +100+220
Brewers -1.5 -125U 7 -120-275

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 30 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Christian Yelich 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Jace Peterson 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Christian Yelich 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jace Peterson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jonathan Davis 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Christian Yelich 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Jace Peterson 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Antonio Senzatela 3.5 +115 3.5 -165
Corbin Burnes 7.5 -150 7.5 +105
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 82 games (+5.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 42 games (+5.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+5.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.38% ROI).

  • 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -3.65% ROI
  • 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -5.54% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 39-54 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -16.14% ROI).

  • 50-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.89% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.85% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -5.56% ROI

Opponents are hitting .365 (93-for-255) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .379 (64-for-169) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (33-for-80) against Antonio Senzatela on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .344 (22-for-64) against Antonio Senzatela’s low curves and sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .192 — first Percentile.

Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (55/125) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 67% of the time (87/129) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (190/472) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (320/842) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Rockies are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The Brewers are 29-24 (.547) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Brewers are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 5-26 (.161) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .292 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .366 (1,146 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Brewers hitters have 30 strikeouts in 93 PA’s (32%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.3

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.3 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Rockies pitchers have walked 194 of 2,222 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 17 of 134 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.