- The Brewers (50-43) are -275 favorites vs the Rockies (43-50)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-5), 4.95 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (7-4), 2.13 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 43-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 39-54 ATS.
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 7 +100 | +220 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -125 | U 7 -120 | -275 |
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 83% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 30 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Yelich | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -165 |
| Corbin Burnes | 7.5 -150 | 7.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 82 games (+5.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 42 games (+5.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+5.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.38% ROI).
- 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -5.54% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 39-54 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -16.14% ROI).
- 50-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.89% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.85% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -5.56% ROI
Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .365 (93-for-255) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .379 (64-for-169) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .412 (33-for-80) against Antonio Senzatela on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .344 (22-for-64) against Antonio Senzatela’s low curves and sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .192 — first Percentile.
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (55/125) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 67% of the time (87/129) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (190/472) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (320/842) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Rockies are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Brewers are 29-24 (.547) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Brewers are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 5-26 (.161) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .292 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .366 (1,146 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 30 strikeouts in 93 PA’s (32%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.3
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.3 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Rockies pitchers have walked 194 of 2,222 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 17 of 134 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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