Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (53-43) are -200 favorites vs the Rockies (43-53)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-7), 4.95 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby (2-7), 4.56 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 43-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-56 ATS.

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -120O 8.5 -115+165
Brewers -1.5 +100U 8.5 -105-200

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 70.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.25 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 68% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)

Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Christian Yelich 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Luis Urias 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Mike Brosseau 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Christian Yelich 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Luis Urias 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Mike Brosseau 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Christian Yelich 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Luis Urias 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Mike Brosseau 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Ashby 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
Kyle Freeland 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 85 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 81 games (+4.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 51-45 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.34% ROI).

  • 43-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.71% ROI
  • 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -8.54% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 40-56 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -16.83% ROI).

  • 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -5.47% ROI
  • 48-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.04% ROI
  • 43-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -8.55% ROI

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (144/284) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (102/211) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .398 (53-for-133) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Aaron Ashby: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (95/156) against Aaron Ashby this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (350/613) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (110/192) against Aaron Ashby this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Aaron Ashby has walked 10 of 74 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies are just 15-30 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Rockies are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 33-11 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Rockies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Brewers are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Brewers are 29-24 (.547) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Brewers are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,959 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Brewers are batting just .229 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Rockies pitchers have walked 78 of 851 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.