- The Brewers (53-43) are -200 favorites vs the Rockies (43-53)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-7), 4.95 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby (2-7), 4.56 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 43-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-56 ATS.
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | +165 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 70.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 68% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ashby | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
| Kyle Freeland | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 85 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 81 games (+4.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 51-45 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.34% ROI).
- 43-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.82% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.71% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -8.54% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 40-56 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -16.83% ROI).
- 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -8.55% ROI
Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (144/284) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (102/211) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .398 (53-for-133) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Aaron Ashby: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (95/156) against Aaron Ashby this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (350/613) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (110/192) against Aaron Ashby this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Ashby has walked 10 of 74 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 15-30 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Rockies are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 33-11 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Rockies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Brewers are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are 29-24 (.547) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Brewers are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,959 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Brewers are batting just .229 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Rockies pitchers have walked 78 of 851 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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