Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
  • The Brewers are -235 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Rockies / Brewers TV Channel: ROTV | FDWI

The Colorado Rockies (+195) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-235) on Saturday, June 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Rockies are 18-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 41-39 ATS.

Rockies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 3-10, 6.58 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 5-2, 3.68 ERA

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -105O 9 -110+195
Brewers -1.5 -115U 9 -110-235

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+15.20 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.55 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.50 Units / 169% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.60 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.52 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 away games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+7.70 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 78 games (+15.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.44 Units / 13% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 31-51 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 18-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.1 Units / -38.84% ROI
  • 34-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.15 Units / -16.8% ROI
  • 45-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 8.64% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 41-39 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -4.11% ROI).

  • 46-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 8.74% ROI
  • 33-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.15 Units / -19.95% ROI
  • 46-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 11.06% ROI

Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Freeman (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jordan Beck (COL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Thairo Estrada (COL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Isaac Collins (MIL) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Caleb Durbin (MIL) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Antonio Senzatela (COL) 2.5 -175 2.5 +130
Quinn Priester (MIL) 4.5 -165 4.5 +125

2-3-4 Hitters have hit .416 against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OBP of .431 (144 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OPS of 1.179 (137 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .747 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .378 (54-for-143) against Antonio Senzatela on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .162 (6-for-37) against Quinn Priester on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (224/393) against Quinn Priester since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (38/210) against Quinn Priester since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Quinn Priester has allowed a slugging percentage of just .390 (53 Total Bases / 136 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .553 — 96th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies are just 16-56 (.222) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Rockies are just 54-21 (.711) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Rockies are just 11-6 (.647) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Rockies are just 12-51 (.190) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Brewers are 139-105 (.570) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 73-50 (.593) at home since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Brewers are 113-7 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 20% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 32% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 24% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 22% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Brewers hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Brewers are batting .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Brewers are batting .316 against LHP this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,591 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.