Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2023, 12:00 PM
  • The Brewers are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña, 6.06 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer, 11.73 ERA

The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Rockies are 5-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-12 ATS.

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -145O 10.5 -120+145
Brewers -1.5 +120U 10.5 +100-175

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sean Bouchard has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+6.12 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -29.13% ROI).

  • 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -38.32% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -41.16% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 33.08% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -18.28% ROI).

  • 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -15.63% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -22.96% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 14.57% ROI

Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (333/618) of opposing batters since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit .329 (68-for-207) against Jose Urena last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.

Jose Urena located 64% of his pitches down (573/897) vs left-handed batters last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Jose Urena has struck out just 11% (52/460) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Eric Lauer has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.2 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.

Opponents had a miss rate of 30% (168/553) against Eric Lauer on fastballs last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (202/614) against Eric Lauer since the start of the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed an OBP of just .226 (288 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Rockies are just 15-55 (.214) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Rockies are just 61-76 (.445) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rockies are 13-73 (.151) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers are just 9-35 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Brewers are 9-57 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Brewers are 46-35 (.568) at home last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Brewers are 9-53 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,250 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers last season traveled 498.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.1

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.