- The Brewers are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña, 6.06 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer, 11.73 ERA
The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rockies are 5-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | O 10.5 -120 | +145 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +120 | U 10.5 +100 | -175 |
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Sean Bouchard has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+6.12 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -29.13% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -38.32% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -41.16% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 33.08% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -18.28% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -15.63% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -22.96% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 14.57% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (333/618) of opposing batters since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit .329 (68-for-207) against Jose Urena last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Jose Urena located 64% of his pitches down (573/897) vs left-handed batters last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Jose Urena has struck out just 11% (52/460) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eric Lauer has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.2 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.
Opponents had a miss rate of 30% (168/553) against Eric Lauer on fastballs last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (202/614) against Eric Lauer since the start of the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed an OBP of just .226 (288 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 15-55 (.214) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Rockies are just 61-76 (.445) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rockies are 13-73 (.151) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are just 9-35 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Brewers are 9-57 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are 46-35 (.568) at home last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Brewers are 9-53 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,250 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers last season traveled 498.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.1
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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