- The Cardinals (63-51) are -225 favorites vs the Rockies (51-66)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (7-8), 4.83 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (4-5), 3.36 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 51-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 64-50 ATS.
Rockies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 +100 | +180 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -120 | -225 |
Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 41 games at home (+15.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games at home (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 74% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Cardinals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 63 games (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+18.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 63-54 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.76% ROI).
- 51-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.1% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.53% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 64-50 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 8.26% ROI).
- 63-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.67% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -8.22% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.88% ROI
Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
18 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 6% (7 SO in 124 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (186/357) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
José Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (160/287) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — third Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (359/579) in two strike counts this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 13th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 15% (16 SO in 103 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 25% (45 SO in 181 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 18th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rockies are 35-3 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Rockies are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 12-30 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cardinals are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Cardinals are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 35-8 (.814) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are 53-18 (.746) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .285 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .623 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.
The Cardinals are batting .333 on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.012 (126 PA’s) on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Cardinals hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 506 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 110 double plays in 835 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.3
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 107 double plays in 844 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
- Alexander Colomé (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Kuhl (Rockies): Hip, D15
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Elias Díaz (Rockies): Hand, D10
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