Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (63-51) are -225 favorites vs the Rockies (51-66)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (7-8), 4.83 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (4-5), 3.36 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 51-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 64-50 ATS.

Rockies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -115O 7.5 +100+180
Cardinals -1.5 -105U 7.5 -120-225

Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 41 games at home (+15.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games at home (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Paul DeJong 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Cardinals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Paul DeJong 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Cardinals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Paul DeJong 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Cardinals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Quintana 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 63 games (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+18.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 63-54 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.76% ROI).

  • 51-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -2.38% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.1% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.53% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 64-50 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 8.26% ROI).

  • 63-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.67% ROI
  • 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -8.22% ROI
  • 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.88% ROI

18 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 6% (7 SO in 124 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — fourth Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (186/357) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

José Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (160/287) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — third Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (359/579) in two strike counts this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 13th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 15% (16 SO in 103 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 25% (45 SO in 181 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 18th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rockies are 35-3 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Rockies are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-30 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cardinals are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Cardinals are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 35-8 (.814) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Cardinals are 53-18 (.746) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Rockies are batting .285 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .623 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.

The Cardinals are batting .333 on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.012 (126 PA’s) on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.

Cardinals hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 506 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 110 double plays in 835 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.3

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 107 double plays in 844 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Alexander Colomé (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Kuhl (Rockies): Hip, D15
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Elias Díaz (Rockies): Hand, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.