Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

Corbin Carroll Diamondbacks
AP Photo/Alex Brandon
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 46-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 65-51 ATS.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 11-5, 4.56 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kohl Drake 0-1, 5.40 ERA

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -145O 9.5 -118+150
Diamondbacks -1.5 +118U 9.5 -102-185

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Connor Norby has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+20.40 Units / 255% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+16.55 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 62-57 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -3.95% ROI).

  • 46-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • 57-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -6.53% ROI
  • 59-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -2.28% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 65-51 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.83% ROI).

  • 64-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 7.31% ROI
  • 50-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -15.35% ROI
  • 64-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 7.26% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman +270
Corbin Carroll +340
Ketel Marte +360
Nolan Arenado +475
Tim Tawa +500

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Kyle Karros 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Cole Carrigg 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
TJ Rumfield 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willi Castro 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Connor Norby 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Cole Carrigg 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jordan Beck 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies were just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 52% this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

The Rockies are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters are slugging .433 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,188 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .789 (1,188 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.51 (1045.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .491 this season — highest in MLB.

The Rockies have allowed 6.17 runs per game (364/59) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 48% of batters they faced (2,167/4,508 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.