- The Diamondbacks (47-58) are -185 favorites vs the Rockies (47-62)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-6), 4.86 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 2.87 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 47-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 60-45 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +150 |
Diamondbacks | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -185 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s matchup with 59.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 66 games (+29.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 49 of his last 69 games (+17.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 66 games (+17.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 58 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+10.55 Units / 96% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alek Thomas | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Carson Kelly | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Christian Walker | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alek Thomas | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
Carson Kelly | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Christian Walker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alek Thomas | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Carson Kelly | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Christian Walker | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
Antonio Senzatela | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 98 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (+2.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 94 games (+14.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games at home (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-50 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.15% ROI).
- 47-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.23% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -3.98% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -5.56% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 60-45 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units / 8.75% ROI).
- 47-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -4.36% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -9.52% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.43% ROI
Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .351 (113-for-322) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (24-for-51) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed a BABIP of .390 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .361 (122-for-338) against Antonio Senzatela versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .193 (16-for-83) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .097 (3-for-31) against Merrill Kelly — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (9-for-62) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 91st Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 17-35 (.327) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Rockies are just 10-27 (.270) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 12-29 (.293) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 92-26 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-17 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Diamondbacks are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 27-162 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,235 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .222 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .204 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Kuhl (Rockies): Hip, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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