Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (47-58) are -185 favorites vs the Rockies (47-62)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-6), 4.86 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 2.87 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 47-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 60-45 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -135O 8 -110+150
Diamondbacks -1.5 +110U 8 -110-185

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s matchup with 59.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 66 games (+29.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 49 of his last 69 games (+17.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 66 games (+17.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 58 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+10.55 Units / 96% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Carson Kelly 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Carson Kelly 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +250 0.5 -375

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
Antonio Senzatela 3.5 -155 3.5 +105
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 98 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (+2.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 94 games (+14.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games at home (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-50 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.15% ROI).

  • 47-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.23% ROI
  • 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -3.98% ROI
  • 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -5.56% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 60-45 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units / 8.75% ROI).

  • 47-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -9.52% ROI
  • 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.43% ROI

Opponents are hitting .351 (113-for-322) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (24-for-51) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed a BABIP of .390 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .361 (122-for-338) against Antonio Senzatela versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .193 (16-for-83) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 91st Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .097 (3-for-31) against Merrill Kelly — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .145 (9-for-62) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 91st Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 17-35 (.327) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Rockies are just 10-27 (.270) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-29 (.293) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 92-26 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Diamondbacks are just 101-17 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 27-162 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,235 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .222 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .204 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Kuhl (Rockies): Hip, D15
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.