Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rockies (35-47) are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (37-45)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber (4-7), 6.53 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel (2-6), 8.27 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Colorado Rockies (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 35-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 45-37 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies-1.5 +135O 9.5 -115-115
Diamondbacks +1.5 -160U 9.5 -105-105

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Thursday‘s matchup with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+5.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+17.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Carson Kelly 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Christian Walker 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Carson Kelly 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Cooper Hummel 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Carson Kelly 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dallas Keuchel 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
Austin Gomber 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 18 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games at home (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.10 Units / 49% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 42-40 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -4.12% ROI).

  • 35-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -5.42% ROI
  • 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.32% ROI
  • 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -6.94% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 45-37 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 3.27% ROI).

  • 37-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -2.84% ROI
  • 37-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -9.7% ROI
  • 42-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.71% ROI

Opponents are hitting .405 (17-for-42) against Austin Gomber’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (124 Total Bases / 220 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .403 — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .530 (97 Total Bases / 183 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .383 — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.328 (17 PA’s) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .684 — first Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dallas Keuchel has an ERA of 8.27 (41.1 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 3.81 — 0 Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (237/361) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (61-for-183) against Dallas Keuchel this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .242 — second Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has located his fastball low 64% of the time (926/1,453) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 25-1 (.962) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .890.

The Rockies are just 30-37 (.448) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Rockies are just 12-26 (.316) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 84-23 (.785) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 92-16 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 36-41 (.468) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.8.

The Rockies are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .346 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .173 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .220 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.5

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.8

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.